Build one model for Port Royal. Pick the stats you believe in, set each one’s filters, then give every stat a weight — weights must total exactly 100% before the model will run. Then backtest your recipe against every Bermuda Championship since 2019.
Pick any stat to add it with default filters — then tune it in Your model.
Set weights to total 100% and run the model.
Filters apply to trailing form stats — e.g. SG: Approach, last 36 rounds on Bermuda courses under 6,900 yards. Rounds at courses missing the relevant data are excluded when a filter is set: green type covers ~33 courses, yardage ~55% of rounds. Scoring classes are tertiles of each course’s historical field average vs par, 2016–2026 (Birdie Fest ≤ −1.00, Tough Test > +0.18). Course history, comp history and skill ratings are fixed values and ignore these filters.
Runs your current recipe against every Bermuda Championship since 2019 — features frozen before each event, graded against what actually happened.